Kicking the Can Down the Road: Saving the Ayattolah

Talks between the United States and Iran continue this week in Geneva.

When desperate Iranians poured into the streets demanding regime change, President Trump pledged that help was on the way, only to retreat. In the aftermath, credible human rights organizations report that thousands of protesters were killed and many more arrested in a sweeping crackdown designed to extinguish dissent.

Now it appears the administration has chosen to defer confrontation in favor of negotiation. The pattern is familiar: pressure followed by pursuit of a deal. As in Venezuela, where engagement and economic overtures failed to dislodge a repressive regime despite widely disputed elections, the governing apparatus endured.

Tehran understands the language of leverage and Trump’s susceptibility to profitable business deals. It has reportedly floated the prospect of lucrative energy, mining, and aircraft agreements in exchange for relief from punitive economic sanctions. Yet the offer comes with a critical caveat: Iran would modify, but not relinquish, its uranium enrichment and leave untouched its ballistic missile programs.

Such an arrangement would not dismantle the regime’s capacity for repression at home or projection of force abroad. It would instead stabilize a government that has spent nearly half a century suppressing its people and destabilizing the Middle East, while edging ever closer to nuclear weapons capability and refining the missiles to deliver it.

Yes, help may indeed be on the way, but not for Iran’s beleaguered citizens if sanctions are lifted without fundamental change. It will be relief for the very regime that has kept them in chains.

—rj

Biden plays politics: The Gaza fiasco


On one hand, President Biden urges a ceasefire in the nearly six month Gaza conflict; on the other, he has stealthily authorized a potent new military aid package to Israel that includes jets, 1,800 MK84 2,000-pound bombs, and 500 MK82 500-pound bombs.

Although 2000 pound bombs are capable of taking out whole city blocks and have been abandoned by most Western militaries for employment in urban locales, they have dominated Israel’s aerial assault on Gaza, with the death toll currently estimated at 33,000, the vast majority of them civilians.

Anonymous Pentagon sources disclose the armament transfer includes transfer of 25 F-35A fighter jets and engines at a cost of 2.5 billion.
Biden isn’t mandated to disclose any of this to lawmakers since Congress had approved the transfer in 2008, presently unfulfilled.

Israel is currently the largest recipient of U.S. aid since the 1970s, receiving on average $1.8 billion in military and $1.2 billion in economic aid annually.

Such aid incentivizes documented Israeli violations of Palestinian rights by humane organizations such as Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch. They have included ongoing abusive detention practices (including the torture of prisoners), restrictions on freedom of movement of Palestinians, the targeting of medical personnel and facilities, and severe damage to infrastructure such as water and electricity to Palestinian civilians prior to Israel’s current Gaza incursion.

It does not move the needle to a two state solution.

All of this comes even as Biden expresses concern over a pending Israeli assault on the alleged remaining Hamas stronghold of Rafah along the Egyptian border and UN warnings of incipient mass starvation. 1.2 million Gaza refugees have sought refuge in this enclave.

Jewish pressure weighs heavily on the Biden administration in an election year with the American Israel Public Affairs Committee donating millions to unseat Democrats deemed unfriendly to Israel. A recent Pew Research survey indicates 80% of American Jews regard aid to Israel as essential.

Those constituencies calling for suspension of aid to Israel are branded as anti-Semite, with surging efforts to pass legislation abridging their First Amendment right to free speech.

Republicans, even more than Democrat leaning Jews, have vigorously supported aid to Israel, though increasingly resistant to approving aid to a besieged Ukraine.

Biden would do well to mind an increasingly assertive Muslim-American electorate that threatens to boycott him in November.

Meanwhile, any full scale attack on densely populated Rafah, gateway for food convoys, would conceivably result in thousands, not hundreds, of killed and maimed.

The morally compromised Biden administration has been complicit in Israel’s blitzkrieg that includes mosques, churches, hospitals and refugee camps, abetted by American armaments.

For this, the U.S. proves deserving of world condemnation.

The elephant in the room is Biden; but then again, endeavors to dislodge him by voting for his Republican adversary are surely non sequitur.

Conversely, efforts to encourage divestiture at home and abroad of Israel merit encouragement. They brought down South Africa’s apartheid regime.

America must do what is right, not what is easy.

–rj